For example now we've got also increasing again Covid cases and lockdowns in Europe, China is also alarming recently. It's hard to compare it with other years, except the previous one. On the other side, Crypto has become more global, there is decent % of the world that does not celebrate these events, not to mention that large institutions will continue getting a foothold in the cryptoverse/meta. So this could be possible while retails are selling, institutions will be purchasing discounted assets at that time and there won't be any big drop as they could even out more or less.
Let me know what are your thoughts on that!